The Federal Reserve increased its main policy rate by 0.75% for the second time in a row. This is the United States’ fourth rate hike of 2022, increasing the benchmark interest rate to a target range of 2.25% to 2.50%.

The May CPI data out of the US came in much hotter than expected. Most analysts had expected year over year inflation to hit 8.3% but instead flew right past that to a new 40 year high of 8.6% (highest since 1981). The inflation numbers are being led by food and energy prices, which even when excluded; still puts inflation at an eye watering 6% year over year. Canadian energy and mining stocks declined as commodities fell after China imposed new lockdowns in parts of Shanghai, lowering the demand outlook. U.S. stocks also fell for a second day as concerns grew after Europe’s central bank became the latest to signal restrictive policies to combat inflation. The ECB made no change to the deposit rate, which was widely anticipated, but is preparing to hike by a quarter-point next month, and again by either that amount or more if inflation persists. In Canada the labour force survey was released today and showed a concerning increase in private sector unemployment (up 2%) and a shift to public sector jobs – an increase of 11%.